It's all about who can get their base out and I have a hard time believing that Biden can get his base out with "hate Trump", "the police are out to get you", "you're a victim", etc. Obama won because he had a very positive message and he was very enthusiastic and charismatic (very much the opposite of McCain) and he was able to get Democrats out to vote in record numbers. Hillary who could have been the winner of another "historical election" did not have the same enthusiasm and she had a reputation and record of being untrustworthy and she did not get nearly the turnout Obama did. Biden is now tied to "defund the police" and he's going to have to answer for the 8 disastrous years from 2009 - 2016 and I have a feeling that more moderate Democrats who would have voted for Obama are not going to turn out for Biden as he has embraced the radical left. Not only that but he's just one of those "old white men" that many on the left despise.
Trump has challenges as well, while alot of what has happened in the past 4 months have not been his fault the Democrats are going to do everything they can to blame him for it and he's going to have to find a way around that and have a positive message going forward.
Overall it's all about turnout, whoever can energize their base will win the election which is why I take these current polls with a grain of salt.
reply
share
samoanjoes (53089)
4 years ago
This is why I have a problem when people keep repeating "vote, vote, vote". Sometimes not voting is sending a message. The low turnout of the last election was a big hint and yet they choose Biden to run against Donald.
reply
share