Ah. Well, I'd be surprised if they went with Tasmania or anywhere in Australia, isn't Numenor described as having a huge central mountain? Nothing like that in Australia, their mountains are low and rounded compared to New Zealand's, although of course a single huge mountain can be CGI'd onto anyplace. And from the descriptions I've heard of Tasmania and the pictures I've seen, the place has a subtle and austere beauty, featuring more low brushlands than forests, mountains, or meadows, and well, it's possible they want something more in-your-face spectacular for Numenor.
So I'm going to stick by MY guess of the Isle of Skye and its neighbors north of Scotland, the places are green and spectacular in a way that's nothing like New Zealand.
http://www.isleofskye.com/images/Gallery/Storr-Summer.jpg
So I presume they're looking for an island with a temperate climate to use as their basic stand-in for Numenor, which does kind of limit the choice of actual islands available on this planet. Australia and New Zealand, the Mediterranean (although those islands might look too dry), islands off Korea and Japan, and yes, off the British Isles. Which is what Prof. Tolkien would probably choose.
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