will this make over 900m domestic?

That's a tall order, especially with theaters either closed or at limited capacity in many regions, but it's not out of the question. It's a great movie, and that goes a long way towards generating ticket sales, because many people will pay to watch a second or third time. We'll have a much better sense of where it's headed in a week or two, but just under $300 million in four days is a pretty good start.

As a comparison, The Force Awakens made $288 million in its first four days, $9.2 million less than No Way Home. The pandemic, and the rise of streaming films at home, may take its toll, so I don't expect No Way Home to continue to outpace The Force Awakens. I think any domestic gross over $500 million is a success beyond what anyone could have imagined before the film was released, and $700 million plus is certainly in play.

absolutely not.

i don't feel too comfortable saying where this will land in north america - i'd feel more confident giving a number after next weekend - but i'll be very surprised if this goes past ... say... $650 million. which is a great number anytime, and an astounding one in our current moment.

but if this makes $900m, i will eat my shoe werner herzog style, film it and post it on youtube. i promise that right here.

I'd say $800m, $400 in first week. As long as it beats Avatar I'm happy.

If I had to bet I would bet on: No.

I’d say it’ll crack $600 million domestic for sure but likely not $700 million. I’ve been wrong before though.

WORLDWIDE
$895,681,855

9 days...

not too bad