This is getting released at the perfect time, and they seem to have confidence in it because they are marketing the hell out of it. I think this is going to be a major financial success.
shareMixed reception at best. As expected. Nowhere near as hateful as Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom. Yet.
https://www.comicbookmovie.com/horror/the-meg-review-round-up-is-jason-stathams-giant-shark-movie-worth-sinking-your-teeth-into-a162799
[deleted]
Unfortunate due to the Studio Letting The Budget Get out of control...Its going top be extremely difficult for this to be a success or even break even...
for some Absurd reason WB Let this Budget Balloon to between 125 Million to 178 Million.
to understand how absurd this is...you first have to understand how this movie was made....This Movie got greenlit SOLELY because Jurassic World Opened to 200 Million + in 2015,at the time NO ONE...Literally Not 1 box office analyst or site had JW1 coming close to 150 Million let alone 200 M+...
all tracking pointed to a 90 to 110 Million OW for JW1....
Well JW1 Blew Up and broke the OW record with a 207 Million OW....WB Green lit the movie after seeing the success of JW1 and was planning on Marketing as a "Jurassic Shark" Movie...but the kicker was, They Greenlit on a Modest 60 Million dollar Budget..
at the time "Eli Roth" was attacked to direct and they all agreed and knew the film couldnt be as success as Jurassic World and rightfully were keeping the Budget Modest....
But Eli Roth left the movie, and WB hired a new director that took the movie in a new direction and wanted to make it more "summer/Popcorn" and Less Horror/scary, but That called for a much larger Budget.
Next They made a extremely ODD choice by casting Jason Statham in The Lead, quite Simply put by casting Statham you put this film in kind of a "Straight to DVD/Not Important" shade....Statham is now in a point in his career where hes doing mostly straight to DVD films and HIs Biggest box office hits open around 10 Million and make 25 to 30 Million domestically.
Casting Statham to headline A Summer Popcorn film that now had a budget over 100 Million was just ODD and not very smart...
Lastly, the director and/or The Studio Let The Budget Balloon out of control(something quite common for WB) when Eli Rith was attacked it was 60 M, When the new director came on board they upped it to 100 Million...it then grew to between 125 and 178 Million in Post Production....
bottom line.....WB Sabotaged this film much like they do with their DCEU films....They just let the budgets get to Big....
the reported Break even point for The Meg is 400 Million World Wide....
right now its looking like The Meg is Heading toward a 36 Million dollar Opening....that would result in a final domestic gross around 80 to 90 million....
China is heading toward a 40 Million dollar Opening, which could result in a 90 to 100 Million + total run....
Its extremely unlikely The Meg will make another 200 Million + from its remaining overseas markets....
My guess, Its Looking at a total gross between 280 to 330 Million....
and I must say, Its a shame because This film could have and should have been a hit...this film should have been a 60 Million dollar film......and would have been a Big hit grossing 280 to 330 Million...
Instead WB just Spent way too Much Money.....
IMO by far the most stunning part about this Is WB continuing to Pump out 125 MILLION+ once Jason Statham was cast.....outside The Expendables(which is entirely sold on SLY Stallone) Statham is box office Poison whoms never Opened A SUMMER movie or had box office success really with any of his movies....
Somehow WB had the exact Opposite reaction of what they should of done....When Statham was cast, WB should have CUT the Budget and scaled back....Instead the upped it to 100 Million + then let it grow to 125 to 178 Million in Post Production....
Bottom Line....There will be no Meg 2.....IMO
So it's basically proportionate to Disney's Christopher Robin which has a reported 75-90 million dollar budget and looks like it will gross 150 million worldwide max?
Speaking of WB letting budgets get out of control...how 'bout that A Wrinkle in Time with it's 105 million budget and a final worldwide gross of 130 million?
And *cough*solo*cough*...
I'm not so sure your right about no Meg 2 (because we don't have enough sequels,lol). This exceeded all box office predictions and I don't see much competition in the weeks ahead.
shareIts budget seems to be its biggest stumbling block, they spent to much. But film looks like it may open 40+ mil which is good. Another thing is this is actually a Chinese co production so it will profit at a higher % then most films coming into China normally do (its why 200 mil china vs 200 mil US is not the same thing...Hollywood normally makes considerably more from the US in that scenario)
Deadline has an update thru the Sat AM and it talks about some of the budget issues but pluses with it being part Chinese film.
https://deadline.com/2018/08/the-meg-chomps-a-huge-4m-on-thursday-night-box-office-1202443644/
Looks like I called it this time. Over $140 million opening weekend for a movie like this is no small feat. It looks terrible in my opinion, but my kid is dying to see it, so I'll get to judge it myself I guess.
share