MovieChat Forums > Avengers: Infinity War (2018) Discussion > Right Now A Gross of 1.5 Billion + is Gu...

Right Now A Gross of 1.5 Billion + is Guaranteed!(2 Billion + now on The table)


ok, so If some of you will remember, I made a thread Guaranteeing "1 Billion for Black Panther" after only 2 days in theaters...

at the time I waited for Fridays box office to come out and show Its domestic OW projections and Then Saturday I got an idea how it was performing overseas....I did the math, a made a thread titled" 1 Billion Guaranteed as of right now"

well, I'm doing the same thing with AIW now....after only 2 days, I've done the math, AIW is guaranteed to at least make 1.5 Billion dollars WW

Domestically its going to debut with 240 Million + at least, Maybe even break TFAs record...

Overseas AIW is absolutely on fire, and is going to have an overseas opening Over 300 M(keep in mind thats without China and other Huge Market)

AIW is going to Break The Fate of The Furious's Global Record, becoming the Highest grossing Global debut of all time...

Based on these openings, AIW is now Guaranteed to gross at least 550 Million domestically and at least 950 Million Overseas...

Its entirely possible AIW is looking at a 1.7 Billion dollar total.....if WOM is great and Holds are Average to above Average...

but regardless....1.5 Billion is Guaranteed!

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Is this Lando? lol I think you are right, it could even hit 2 billion. I guess it just depends if DP 2 and Han Solo end up being garbage.

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Is this Lando? lol I think you are right, it could even hit 2 billion. I guess it just depends if DP 2 and Han Solo end up being garbage.

^^^

HUH?

check my history....this is billbrown...

Landos EPIC failed thread was a copy of mine....He made it because we were argue in My Original thread....I made my "1 Billion Is Guaranteed" thread like 15 days before Lando made his...'

and no IMO 2 Billion is not likely....

right now after doing the math....Its Impossible for Avengers IW not to hit 1.5 Billion + and become the highest grossing CBM of all time....

A domestic gross of 550 to 600 Million Is Guaranteed now....with a shot at 650 to 700 M...

A total between 900 to 950 Million Overseas is Guaranteed Now, With a shot at a 1 Billion + overseas gross...

This isnt a fake thread or trolling ...

I did the same exact thing with BP....2 days after it came out, once the projections came in, I could easily see 1 Billion was guaranteed, Many others disagreed with me, It took about 10 days before people started realizing 1 Billion + was guaranteed.

AIW is simply On FIRE...Its overseas gross Is Incredible, Its domestic Opening weekend is either going to be the biggest ever or miss it by probably less than 5 M...

with these projections, AIW could have Bad HOLDS from here out on and still Make 1.5 Billion....thats why I'm guaranteeing it...

its Done....right now, AIW is going to be the highest grossing CBM of All time...

we wont get an idea until next week how much over 1 .5 B its going to make, like with this weekend, Once we see what the Projections for AIWs 2nd weekend and see what the holds are....I'll be able to tell if it looking at a 600 Million domestic Gross over closer to 700 M...

but this is a real thread, and once again like with BP, I'm guaranteeing a TOTAL....1.5 Billion + is DONE

https://moviechat.org/tt1825683/Black-Panther/5a8980b36736d00014d7fccb/1-Billion-Guaranteed-as-of-right-now

Here is my original thread on Black Panther(Lando Copied this thread) then it turned into the single biggest fail of all time when He tried changing the title and all the replies after he turned out wrong!

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It'll be interesting to watch. I think a safer bet would be, "IF the holds are good, and WOM supports it, and it does well critically." There are a number of things that could contribute to a dip in earnings. . .if Solo is a juggernaut, if the second-wave WOM isn't good, etc, etc. Right now, it's looking good for the movie. Which I liked, but was hoping to Love. . .but that's another discussion ;)

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It'll be interesting to watch. I think a safer bet would be, "IF the holds are good, and WOM supports it, and it does well critically." There are a number of things that could contribute to a dip in earnings. . .if Solo is a juggernaut, if the second-wave WOM isn't good, etc, etc. Right now, it's looking good for the movie. Which I liked, but was hoping to Love. . .but that's another discussion ;)

^^^

no, If it has good holds then were talking 1.6 or 1.7 Billion....

AIW can have completely average holds from here on out and 1.5 Billion is guaranteed, Age Of Ultron had Average Holds, Nothing about its box office or holds were great....

with a 240 Million dollar opening weekend, If AIW performed identical to AOU and just has average holds, Its looking at a 575 Million domestic gross...

AIW, has better WOM than AOU in every way....better reviews, better cinemascore, better tracking from audience coming out of theaters...

Its literally guaranteed, 1.5 Billion is the FLOOR for AIW...

If it has any kind of Great WOM, or above average holds, were looking at a 600 + domestic Gross and 1 Billion + overseas gross...

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i'm inclined to agree.

i just checked the total domestic gross/opening weekend multipliers.

avengers has a 3 multiplier (207 opening, 623 final)
aou has a 2.4 (191 & 459)

if iw gets the $240 ow projected & has aou's multiplier that gets you to $576m domestic. $550 seems like a good, conservative floor.

if you take the midpoint of those multipliers & give iw a 2.7, that gets you to $648.

we'll have a better grasp once we see 2nd wknd holds, of course, but i think you're on solid ground.

the audience feedback seems reasonably positive, no backlash at this point as far as i can discern, & the cinemascore is a solid a. not the avenger's a+, mind you, which makes me think its multiplier will be closer to ultron's than avengers', but still...i think we can be bullish on its financial prospects.

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yes....great stuff...

This is why I specifically said "I did the Math"....everything you poin tot, I checked into, PLus more...

This thread isnt a prediction or guess, at this point if you understand box office, when you get the projections of a 240 Million OW and 300 Million + overseas opening, Its just simply Math...You can easily set a clear Floor, and its just not possible for AIW not to make at least 1.5 Billion now...

The film would literally have to Collapse, Have Historically awful drops....and Nothing about its reception even in the slightest suggests something like that could happen...

I'm expecting AIW to have completely average holds from here on out, nothing even close to BP, I'm expecting a 55 to 58% 2nd weekend drop(around 95 to 110 M)...A 55 to 60% 2nd weekend drop is the average for CBMs....

after that I expect AIW to have 50 to 55% drops the rest on its run...I'm literally expecting a completely average run, and based off that 1.5 B is still guaranteed, If AIW performs better than Average in anyway, If it has just slightly better than average holds, Its going to gross even more than 1.5 B...

If it has good holds, then were talking like 1.6 or 1.7 B

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2 Billion is completely on the table now!

AIW broke everything...

Its Overseas gross is literally off the charts, were easily talking about a 1 Billion + gross overseas as a MINIMUM ....It may Gross 1.2 to 1.4 Overseas Alone....

Domestically it broke the OW record, 250 M....were looking at at least 650 Million domestically...probably more

broke both THe Saturday and Sunday records....

this is Historic!

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I underestimated my opening weekend, but I'm still feeling good about my original Totals predictions:

https://moviechat.org/tt4154756/Avengers-Infinity-War/5aae3b48d84efb0014e6be8d/Predict-your-openinggrosstotal-earnings-easily-surpass-dollar1-billion?reply=5aae9b4fd84efb0014e6c051

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ya I would say

700 M domestic and 1.8 B WW is definitely possible now

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Gitesh Pandya
‏ @GiteshPandya
6h6 hours ago

UPDATE: Auds pouring into multiplexes today SUN for #AvengersInfinityWar which is holding up better than Disney projected, according to a source. SUN #boxoffice might break $70M for low 15% dip from SAT. Opening wknd may end up in stunning $255-260M range for even bigger record.

^^^

Avengers IW having Insane Sunday hold....

now looks like a 255-260 Million Opening Weekend!

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I wish it could beat Avatar. I HATE that overrated movie and wish that SOMETHING could dethrone it. This movie is far better than Avaturd...most movies are, in fact.

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I hope that when the final numbers come in, A:IW will have beaten the record set by TFA. Hate to say it for fear of starting a fight, however the current crop of SW movies doesn't match up (story wise or in character quality) to the MCU movies.

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it beat it by 10 million....

The final numbers are in...

AIW had an even better sunday that expected, final Opening weekend is 258 Million!!!!

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I just read that too, over at boxofficemojo. What a weekend for Marvel!

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I agree TFA is fine but it's pretty much a remake. TLJ is a cluster fuck that has in the short term damaged the series and split the fanbase.

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