I'm now starting to think that the British 'winning' the Battle of Britain is possibly the best thing that possibly could have happened to Germany. I mean, can you imagine what the rest of history would have been like had Sealion actually been attempted and Hitler lost many of those crack units. Suffice to say Barbarossa would have been less effective... or perhaps Stalin would have invaded in '41 instead!
I think the other way. A failed Sealion might well have pricked their ambitions for further conquests. Had Germany tried to invade, the entire invasion force would have been wiped out. There are several reasons for this. Firstly, as has been pointed out already, the Royal Navy was far too strong for the Kriegsmarine and could not have been stopped by any means. Secondly, Britain was better defended than anyone gave them credit for and always had the upper hand in information. Thirdly, the Wehrmacht had no experience of landings and Jodl had decree that it would be like a large river crossing. Finally, it was so shambolically organised that it could never have worked.
As one who has spent 30 years in small craft, I reckon the whole thing was put together by people who don't understand what happens when you put to sea in small boats. Everyone today underestimates this too. It wasn't simply a matter of the Wehrmacht climbing into some boats and blithely invading. Their barges had very low freeboard and a passing destroyer would have sunk dozens of them with its wash without firing a shot. They did not and could not control the sea lanes. Even with air supremacy, their performance against shipping had been very poor in previous battles. They would have had to embark days before they sailed (as the Allies did for Normandy). On top of that - and another smokescreen is the myth of german invincibility. When you understand the French campaign, you can see why they lost the Battle of Britain and why any attempt at an invasion would have been a disaster for the Germans. Three excellent books for background to the Battle of Britain are:
"The Fall of France" by Julian Jackson,
"Operation Sealion" by Leo McKinstry and
"Invasion 1940" by Derek Robinson
I recommend these because they provide information most people are not aware of or have scant awareness of. Plenty of people who have seen this film have read the plethora of books on the Battle but know little of the lead up to it. The RAFs victory in the Battle of Britain made all this impossible anyway.
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