if no covid - what box office?

Without a star like DiCaprio, this was never going to be as big as Inception.

Dreams within dreams is a concept we can get our heads around. Inversion? That's a little too extreme for most people to get their heads around. It didn't create talking points other than 'did you see it?' for my friends, whereas Inception had many talking points.

I think this would have been around 500. You could argue that it's hit at $300,000 because it didn't have much competition.

I'd say 8 or 9 would be a good guess. But it is really hard to say.

So many variables to consider that it isn't really predictable.

Tenet earned maybe 75% of what otherwise might have been expected overseas but closer to 1/3 of what might have been attained in North America. That’s around $400 million overseas and $165 million domestic for a total closer to Dunkirk ($525 million) than Interstellar ($677 million sans this year’s China reissue). But an over/under $60 million cume is just over/under 3x what anything else (Unhinged, The New Mutants, possibly Let Him Go and The War With Grandpa) has pulled off since theaters reopened.

Maybe the Pfizer PFE +7.7%-created Coronavirus vaccine (allegedly 90% effective, compared to 65% for most flu vaccines) turns out to be the real deal. Hopefully movie theaters do get a bailout early in a new Joe Biden administration and really do make it out of this mess alive and somewhat well. If that happens, then, yeah, Tenet may turn out to be the hero theaters needed not by becoming a blockbuster but by bombing during a time when theaters needed anything big to buy them time.

I never got the impression there was a ton of interest in it. Nolan is a draw for sure, but at the same time, people are kind of over him.

It's too bad that Nolan insisted on releasing it during a pandemic. Lots of us would have gone to see it in the theater.

800 million worldwide

Before attempting to watch this movie, My Prediction PRE COVID would have been....


OW---60 to 75 Million

Total Domestic---190 to 250 M

WW----650 to 750 M


I would have felt extremely confident Making that ^ prediction for Tenet Pre Covid....


Buuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuut

I recently TRIED to watch Tenet...and I must say It was one of the most SHOCKING movie experiences of my life

Nolan Is TIED with David Fincher and M Night Shyamalan for my Favorite directors ever(Yes I said M Night Shyamalan, I completely admit this man had a streak of Literally Making some of the WORST films ever made, But for Me, He's Made 4 or 5 films that are among my favorite movies of all time)

anyways back Nolan....I LOVE Nolan and consider him easily one of the best directors....The Dark Knight, Inception, The Prestige and Memento are IMO ALL Time Great Films....and Movies Like Batman Begins, TDKR, Interstellar and Insomnia are good to great

Tenet was one of my most anticipated films 2020

But after trying to watch Tenet....I consider it Literally one of the worst examples of Film Making I've ever seen....I actually COULD NOT Finish it....

It astonishes me Nolan could FAIL this horrifically....

so after trying to watch this film....

My Box office opinion for this movie changes....before seeing this film, I felt Tenet in a pre covid box office landscape would preform similar to other Nolan films and would have outstanding WOM, and great repeat viewing causing its domestic box office especially to really leg out...

after trying to watch this film, I feel confident now saying Tenets OW and domestic total would have really suffered due the quality of the film...

New Prediction

OW----50 to 55 Million

Total Domestic---115 to 135 Million

WW---435 to 475 Million


Simply put....I believe this film would have drastically under performed domestically in a Pre-covid landscape and would not remotely had the same WOM and repeat viewing as say Inception, TDK or Even TDKR or Interstellar...