MovieChat Forums > The Little Mermaid (2023) Discussion > Will it even break even?

Will it even break even?

posted a year ago by ranmast (620)
26 replies | jump to latest

From dealine (a site which has been doing everything to protect this movie): "Should Little Mermaid break even, it would be a rare feat for a tentpole to do so on the back of its domestic box office. Typically a tentpole sees 60% of its global box office total (or more) coming from overseas. Typically Disney titles seeing 50/50 splits between domestic and international box office are movies such as 2018’s Christopher Robin and 2016’s Pete’s Dragon." This is a big 'IF' it break even... Yeah, international numbers don't matter...
https://deadline.com/2023/05/little-mermaid-box-office-profit-loss-halle-bailey-1235383099/

[–] [deleted] a year ago

No it won't.

[–] Ranb (7179) a year ago

It might. Eight days after general release it has made about 95% of its $250 million production cost. https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1913750273/?ref_=bo_hm_RECENT_WEEKEND_WIDGET_1

If it makes over $500 million, it might make a profit. I know this will upset some people. But then no one cares what those delicate snowflakes think.

[–] TearofLys (2398) a year ago

Well, it opened on Thursday of last week (wednesday some places), so this is technically its tenth day.

[–] Ranb (7179) a year ago

https://www.imdb.com/title/tt5971474/releaseinfo/?ref_=ttfc_ql_2

Initial release was May 8th, US wide release was May 26th.

[–] TearofLys (2398) a year ago

It really opened on Thursday night in U.S. and if Thursday = day one and you count until today...

[–] darkpast (8035) a year ago

big hit 💰💰💰💰💰

[–] ranmast (620) a year ago

It's not doing it...

[–] QueenFanUSA (3375) a year ago

It's already understood in the industry that this will be a money-loser. It's gonna need great legs domestically just to keep the losses under $100 million.

[–] Ranb (7179) a year ago

Can you show us "the industry" that is understanding this? Surely when you speak with such blase' authority, you can provide a link?

[–] QueenFanUSA (3375) a year ago

I don't need to provide a link.

lololololol

If you are that out of the loop on this you probably shouldn't be commenting on box office.

[–] Ranb (7179) a year ago

I was talking about the film industry, not your imaginary industry.

[–] furiousstyles (4359) a year ago

ignore queen, hates disney so loves to troll the board, hasnt a clue about box office, just trolling

[–] Ranb (7179) a year ago

Looks like it is getting some international legs. Perhaps it is the attention all the haters are giving it? Nothing like a boomerang to the face is there.

https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1913750273/?ref_=bo_hm_RECENT_WEEKEND_WIDGET_2

Domestic (57%) $186,207,067
International (43%) $140,500,000
Worldwide $326,707,067

[–] QueenFanUSA (3375) a year ago

Yeah it just needs another $ 300 million or so to break even.

I'm sure it will get there!

[–] Ranb (7179) a year ago

You sound very confident, what changed? :)

[–] QueenFanUSA (3375) a year ago

That was sarcasm, my dear Ranb.

[–] Ranb (7179) a year ago

What will you say if the film does more than break even?

[–] QueenFanUSA (3375) a year ago

I will say "well I got that wrong!".

[–] emori (3092) a year ago

You don’t understand how box-office works.

It has a budget of 250 millions
+some 100-150 were spent on promotion

International movie theaters usually give back on American studio around 50%. And only 1/3 from, China. So out of those 140 millions only around 70 millions will count.

70 + 186 = 256. This is how much movie made as as this moment. With some 400 millions spend on it overall.

Its not doing good numbers.

Aladdin made $355 millions at Domestic Box Office + $691 at International Box Office.

Beauty and the Beast made 504 at Domestic Box Office + $764 at International Box Office

By comparison to other Disney live-action movies - its tanking.

[–] Ranb (7179) a year ago

Did you see that I merely posted the current earnings? You're preaching to the choir. I thought everyone knew it takes 2-3 times productions costs to earn a profit.

What do you expect good numbers to be during the first two weeks of release?

Are you claiming that Aladdin and Beauty and the Beast made those figures in their first two weeks of wide release?

[–] emori (3092) a year ago

It’s called "legs". Movies usually get the biggest money out of first 2 weeks. Specially in the international box-office. Many cities there just show movie for 2 weeks then get it out of the schedule. To make space for new releases. Specially smaller cities or those theaters who dont have 5 screens.

Little Mermaid fell 58% in second week. Thats big.

Little Mermaid earned $95 millions on first week-end. $40 millions on second. Fell for -58%

Aladdin earned $91 millions on first week-end. $42 millions on second. Fell for -53%

Beauty and the Beast $174 millions on first week-end. $90 millions on second. Fell for -48%

[–] Luffy (794) a year ago

The more important question is, can mermaids poop?

[–] AndyKing1967 (33860) a year ago

Wouldn’t it be all long and stringy like goldfish poop? 🤷‍♂️

[–] AndyKing1967 (33860) a year ago

It’s passed 250M WW if that helps.

[–] [deleted] a year ago

It'll easily break even and then continue to generate income for Disney as a big draw on Disney+ and through rentals.

[–] FilmBuff (6691) a year ago

Easily? It's still at least $240 million short of break even, and I don't see it doing much more business with Spider-Man in theaters, and more blockbusters on the horizon.