MovieChat Forums > Avengers: Endgame (2019) Discussion > Will this only have two weekends at #1?

Will this only have two weekends at #1?


It's looking like Detective Pikachu has a very good chance of stealing the top spot this weekend, domestically.

Stay tuned...

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At boxofficemojo weekend's forecast says EG $73 mil. Pikachu $60 mil. , so no

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Queen only pays attention to Scott Mendleson’s false predictions. Mendelson is dead wrong 100% of the time but he has a weird personal grudge against Marvel movies so he and Queen have something in common.

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It would be quite the unexpected upset if Endgame somehow pulled out a third week at number one. A movie geared to be so frontloaded, released at the most competitive time, is lucky to top the charts a second week. A third week? My goodness, that would be something! Disney sure has some magic going...

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Did you just troll QueenFanUSA? Oh, NO you didn't!!!!

You do know he isn't smart enough to respond or even consider it as having a good laugh at his own expense?

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I had no intention of going to see it a second time in theaters, as I usually don't like to do that. But I might just in the hope that it wins, just to spite you :)

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I'm going to watch it a second time next week on Wednesday

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So, yeah, the “pessimistic” scenario is that it acts as a conventional blockbuster release and has already earned, like Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse and Shazam, around 10% of its weekend total, which would still be a solid $57 million launch. Conversely, the (arguably hyperbolic) optimistic scenario is that it plays like an honest-to-goodness-kids-flick and last night’s grosses are, like The Jungle Book, How to Train Your Dragon 3, Inside Out or Minions, are around 5% of the weekend total. That would give Detective Pikachu a $114 million debut weekend.
Is this the quote from Forbes' Scott Mendelson that has you so excited for Avengers:Endgame potentially being kicked out of the #1 position? for the coming weekend?

Instead of saying "stay tuned" why not just post the obvious quote and attribute the author. You try and drop these uncredited, ambiguous, uncorroborated missives as if you're afraid that people will find out that they could read articles like you and they could interpret the veracity of the articles for themselves.

Again your fascination with apparent box office stumbles by Disney/Marvel is all that intrigues you. It is as if you want to bust the enjoyment bubble of those watching Marvel/Disney films. Why is that?

QueenFanUSA = The Grim Reaper? Really?
QueenFanUSA = False Prophet! There, that's more like it.

Again you would like so desperately to be right that Avengers:Endgame is bested by a Pocket Monster for the coming weekend. Admit it.

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Norrinrad...I am a Disney FAN. I prefer their output over Warner Bros. and Universal in almost any genre...CBM...Animation...live action adventure/fantasy...Star Wars.

Yes...I really have enjoyed the Disney Star Wars films unlike most fans.

I DO, however, think they are aggregiously out of step with the current cultural zeitgeist as evidenced by their horrible performance at the box office(in relation to the budgets) of the vast majority of their films outside of Marvel.

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I think you mean most of their films outside of Marvel, Pixar and Starwars.

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I'm not sure if Detective Pikachu will do it. I really think that it will remain #1 for a third week. After that you have John Wick 3 and Aladdin the week after. Godzilla 2 will definitely take it down though.

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'"Godzilla 2 will definitely take it down though."

If the trailer reactions are any indication...it's going to take down a lot more than just Endgame. Lots of people in the comments section of boxoffice.com are SCREAMING at them "Are you NUTS with these low projections? This is going to be huge!"

LOL...no doubt it's going to be HOT. No movie is remotely like it this summer.

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Godzilla looks horrible. I could see it flopping to a sub 50 min opening. I'm sure it will do well in Japan though. Consdering the Kong movie only opened to 70m or something, and that actually looked good.

If there is one movie that is going to blow away BO predictions, it's Brightburn. I could see that making split kind of numbers. It's a superhero horror movie. Horror movies with a good gimmick can typically make over 200m at the US box office, and combine that with the superhero tag, and James Gunn producing, you've got box office dynamite.

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Boxofficepro tracking Godzilla at $15-30M ow

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No, it's tracking at 54m.

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Um, Engame will have been out 6 weeks when Godzilla comes out. How will that even be relevant anymore? Blockbusters made 90% of their BO in the first month.

It could be number one conceivably into it's fourth week. Obviously it wont beat Aladdin in its 5th week.

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It could be number one conceivably into it's fourth week. Obviously it wont beat Aladdin in its 5th week.
QueenFanUSA wouldn't care about that because that would be one Disney movie displacing another Disney movie. So to him that is not posting worthy. There is no Gloom, Doom or Pale over Disney for that happening. If anything he staunchly already feels and will state unequivocally that Aladdin will flop and flop hard.

Wait for it.....

Wait for it.....

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I hope Alladin will flop hard. It looks terrible. It may well do. Considering the public seem to finally be tiring of Disney's soulless live action remakes and remakes in general. What was the last successful one? Beauty and the Beast? Dumbo flopped. Mary Poppins flopped.Christopher Robing flopped. Will Smith's Genie has been the laughing stock of the internet. Enough of this crap already.

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Interesting perspective and one that I don't share.

I wasn't the target audience for Christopher Robbins, Dumbo and or Mary Poppins so I didn't care one way or the other about any of those films. I also personally don't wish for a film to "Flop Hard" as that makes no sense to me as if it succeeds or fails wouldn't and doesn't impact me personally.

I think that if Aladdin doesn't buck this alleged QueenFanUSA perception with Disney live action, Mulan will.

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End game was a rip roaring success in box office and audience approval.

So whatever Queen fan.

Everybody walks away a winner. Apart from you.

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Indeed it was a huge success but it was an extremely FRONTLOADED success which opens a wide runway for films like Detective Pikachu and Godzilla 2 to really break out and overperform so you're right...it has ended up being a "win-win" for all studios this summer.

If Endgame had been as leggy as many had predicted it could have hampered many of the early summer tentpoles so the fact that it IS'NT is good for the industry as a whole. Aladdin is probably the only probable money-loser of the big-budget tentpoles that will be released this coming month.

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Meh. It didn't need to be leggy. Leggy is only a thing for movies that fail to perform well. Movies are never intended to be leggy. It just happens. Its a random thing for someone to gripe about to try and make a case that a film isn't as good as it is perceived. But when you get to the $2 billion range the reason it doesn't leg out is because everyone has already seen it. Such 'legginess' would require everyone to see it two or more times. Like what happened with Avatar. Its not a realistic expectation.

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With a 360 million production budget and generous backend profit deals for RDJ and others, it was important for this film to have the longest legs possible.

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i actually have come around to finding you to be quite a hoot.
i don't think you're a real troll. not in the standard sense.
there's lots of people who post on message boards & go out of their way to antagonize people, insult their opinions, say such and such was garbage.
you're a bit different.
you say things that you can't possibly believe, that are clearly on their face absurd, & that you know will not be taken seriously.
you surely must be laughing to yourself when you post this stuff.

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Disney actually warned yesterday during their earnings conference call that because of the production cost and profit participation deals that they weren't going to net as most people think from Endgame.

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“Given the size of the cast involved … and the cost required to produce a film of that scale and magnitude and length, while we expect the results from this film to be terrific, they will be hampered somewhat by the cost structure,” she said.

Neither she nor Iger offered any projections in terms of the ultimate profit margin for Endgame, and McCarthy noted that she had issued a similar caveat for those tallying up Infinity War‘s impact on the balance sheet. The previous Avengers outing, Infinity War, racked up $500 million in profit, sources have said.

In the wake of Endgame‘s ending, many film buffs and comic-book fans have been wondering what’s next for the Marvel Cinematic Universe now that the 22-installment Avengers-centric narrative has run its course after a bit more than a decade. Iger noted plans across Disney+ streaming, television and future feature development.

“When we bought Marvel, we started studying their characters and when we got to about 8,000, we stopped,” Iger said. “There are many, many different directions that we could go. We’ve obviously laid a lot of pipe in terms of character and story.”
QueenFanUSA you say that was a warning but it really was an FYI and it had little if anything to do with what other people were thinking. You on the other hand are speculating what other anonymous people are thinking and are attempting to have them calibrate their thoughts on what Disney/Marvel will net? I'm confused. No, really I'm not.

Again, the large cast and the amount that the film will net had nothing to do with the longevity of the run at the boxoffice. It is you who are saddling the film with an ROI based on some arbitrary efficiency that you have created.

Sure if A:E could have been made for $50 Million, advertised for $50 Million and netted $2.3 Billion dollars that would be marvelous. Show us all the companies that are executing to those set of financial costs. Name 5. No, Name 1. Both Avatar and Titanic cost +$200 Million to make.

Are you suggesting that Disney with Avengers:Endgame is not financially a viable profit model?

Well Duh!!

Scott Mendelson writes for Forbes. He used to also write for the Motley Fool and he and another writer would pen articles that were Pro vs Con for investors. Scott is no different in this article and your tuning in to their articles and this type reflects a misunderstanding of the purpose of those articles and their agenda. You're buying tickets and their pushing STOCK in Disney. Mendelson is shilling investment strategies for films with a loose attachment to entertainment.

Also Mendelson speaks to Disney as an entire company but you continue to try and separate Disney's profit strategy on Films alone when Mendelson seems to factor in ancillary income in his articles.

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I don't quite follow that criticism. You say Disney is warning people that people's expectations are off on what Disney's net profits will be. But nothing you said indicates Disney is off on what Disney's profits will be. So it sounds like Disney is to receive exactly what they hoped for.

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Exactly There is a limited universe of moviegoers. It is almost a standard for this time and its peak is between 2.1 to 2.7 billion dollars. The studios does not care if they get to that limit frontloaded or bit by bit, as long as you get there. The movie cannot be leggy because it almost already reached its peak, there are few subjects from the existing universe yet to see the movie, but the final objective was reached in record time. Again, this movie cannot be leggy because you cannot stretch what has already been stressed to his breaking point.

This movie was incredible successful while being frontloaded, legs won't help his success or be part of it. In fact, studios will kill (figuratively) to have freeloaded movies like this one. What do you prefer a leggy movie like dull Wonder Woman that makes 800 million in a lot of time, or a movie that makes you 1.2 billion dollars in 5 days?

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You thought Wonder Woman was "dull"?

You don't hear people saying THAT very often. I thought it was pretty good/decent but wow do most people LOVE it!

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I'm basically a Marvel fan but i liked WW a lot and also Aquaman and MoS , but i was really disappointed with BvS and JL , specially JL was really bad

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Yep, and I don't know why anyone, other than superfans, would have any incentive to go see an MCU movie in theaters multiple times

Their episodic nature guarantees that any details you might have missed on a first viewing will be spoon-fed to you in the next film. Hell, the Spider-Man trailer is already filling us in on the fallout of Endgame

Plus we know it'll end up on a streaming service or On Demand or Blu-Ray within a couple of months. What difference does it make how "leggy" it is when it's already guaranteed to be the #1 or #2 film of all time?

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"it isnt leggy"

Wait, tell me how much it has made up to now?

And tards like you usually say this "but wait till those BluRray and Netflix sales."

But this time wait for those Bluray and netflix sales.

For the next 25 years, no doubt.

These last 2 films will clean up like Lord of the Rings, Star Wras type clean up. Not like a Taken 3, Alita Battle Angel type Blu-ray clean up.


Not like it needs it because its one of the biggest money makers of all times.

of all times.

And a success with the audience that paid to see it.

So after cinema this series will smash any profit exectations, pay for any salaries multiple times over.

And you will sit at 70 years old bitter and angry while this series has made a staggering amount of money while making a staggering amount of people happy.

And you will sit, stinking, bitter. the FBI walk in, cuff you up and they will dig up under your house to find all the bodies.

While you sit on death row, these films will make more money than your whole family line since the dawn of time until the end of your family line when you get a bolt through the brain sanctioned by the government

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posted 9 days ago by QueenFanUSA (1799)
31 replies | jump to latest
It's looking like Detective Pikachu has a very good chance of stealing the top spot this weekend, domestically.

Stay tuned...
Nope. Didn't happen. PDP didn't steal the top spot.

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