MovieChat Forums > Veronica Mars (2014) Discussion > 75 % second-week drop with not even half...

75 % second-week drop with not even half its budget grossed yet. FLOP.


Say what you want, but this is even WORSE than Serenity, another TV show that in spite of tanking in the Nielsens, still managed to have a big-screen movie made, which also flopped with audiences. Fans keep saying that this Kickstarter thing was a success, but how can it be called that when the film itself flopped and won't even gross its budget back?

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Total Flop even for a small production. What's more shocking...this show have fanboys? Really?

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A show was canceled six years ago. Fans proved that it if a film were to be made it would have AN AUDIENCE . That is what was successful. There are several shows that were canceled in their prime that haven't gotten closure, Veronica Mars can no longer say the same.

Box office percentages be damned, we got the movie we've always wanted and that is all that matters. We now have a book series, so by fandom standards I'd say it was a success.

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One thing that I think a lot of the negative people forget is that the original Kickstarter goal was $2 million. They raised a lot more, so they made a more expensive movie than they originally planned. More cameos, more locations, etc.

Now, I don't think anyone paid to see this for Jamie Lee Curtis, James Franco, etc. So many of those added frills can be dropped for a follow-up and most likely retain a similar audience level. The movie's already made $3 million just at the theaters. It was high on every digital chart around. With those included it could reach $4-5 million before even hitting the DVD/Blu-ray market.

So, they've shown the potential audience that is out there. Theoretically, Warner Bros could fund a $2 million follow-up and make a profit.

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What people love to conveniently leave out of the whole "it's not even on DVD yet; it will eventually turn a profit there" argument is that producing, distributing and marketing those mediums also costs money. You don't think that it is all free, do you? Studios don't spend money on marketing, production and distribution just to make a profit "when it's on DVD eventually" or to "turn a profit down the road." The film will end up losing money, and no argument in the world is going to change that. This, just like Serenity, tanked on TV for a reason: audiences don't care, and its fandom is minuscule.

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It was released simultaneously on streaming video, so unless you brainiacs have a magic way of producing the streaming video revenue for us you don't know what the hell you're talking about. Sorry.

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There was never expectation for this to be a theater success. It was put on iTunes and VOD the same day that it hit LIMITED theaters. If anything this movie is expanding awareness of the universe and series even more and making more potential for a successful sequel.

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[deleted]

Stealing it is nothing to boast about.

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Were they boasting or just stating a fact which might be a lie....?
“What we have here is a failure to communicate”, Captain

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lol yea me too.

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What people love to conveniently leave out of the whole "it's not even on DVD yet; it will eventually turn a profit there" argument is that producing, distributing and marketing those mediums also costs money.


Doesn't change the fact that a movie can become profitable in those markets. You cite Serenity as a flop, but why are they still making Firefly merchandise ten years later? Someone's buying it.

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"Doesn't change the fact that a movie can become profitable in those markets."<----------------It can. Doesn't mean that it will. VM won't.

"why are they still making Firefly merchandise ten years later? Someone's buying it.<--------------------------Yep. The same Firefly fans that paid for a ticket twenty different times, and paid for twenty copies of the film on DVD, AND STILL couln't make the movie a hit on either format. The property simply has no appeal beyond its niche core of fans. And VM is the same.

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AND STILL couln't make the movie a hit on either format.


It was a hit on DVD. That's the point. And you're trying to argue that there's no point in appealing to a niche core of fans, and that's obviously not true.

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A hit? Are you serious? Let me guess...it spent some time on the Sci-Fi Films top ten on Amazon? Right...niche within a niche, even if it sold 250 copies at any given point, it could've been top five or even # 1. Dude, I remember when Serenity came out on DVD and how it landed with a thud. It wasn't a DVD smash, like most of its fans predicted ("It flopped in theatres, but just watch, audiences will devour it on home video!"); being a top ten seller on Amazon's Sci Fi Films charts doesn't equal being a hit. Had it been a huge HV smash ala Austin Powers 1, it would've garnered a sequel.

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It was number one on Amazon - of all DVDs, not just Sci-Fi - and it was in the Billboard top 10 for a few weeks. It cleared nine million dollars in its first month of release, and subsequent special editions and high-definition releases have also sold well.

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LMAO!!!! Are you serious? That is not true. I distinctly remember the Amazon thing. It was Science Fiction. And dude...nine million dollars in a month of release for a DVD with an average price of fifteen dollars a piece is absolutely measly. X-Men First Class sold 10 million dollars worth of DVD ON ITS FIRST WEEK.
Browncoats think that by saying that the film was a hit they can fool people into believing it was, but just like the TV show, Serenity was a flop on DVD. That's why you guys still don't have your sequel, and it will never happen.

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Well if you feel its fair comparing the box office takings of a MASSIVE Marvel movie event with a limited release tvshow movie, more power to you.

Going by the stats you stated, it is hardly a 'flop'.

Even if Serenity's numbers were to qualify it as a *complete* flop - which you seem to genuinely feel so - I don't understand why you sound so triumphant about it.

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«Serenity» isn't a massive flop. That would be a film that cost 100 million dollars and only grosses 12. But a film like Serenity, which couldn't even make its entire budget back (before marketing, distribution, and home video costs are factored in) is indeed a flop and a money-losing endeavor that clearly has ensured that the studio makes no attempt at a sequel ever.

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Well that's not necessarily true. I've tried watching Firefly and I couldn't get into it. While Serenity on the other hand I loved. Sometimes long shots can pay off. And smaller budget movies are less of a financial risk.

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You are right about the DVD, that will only increase the profits (as will TV distribution), but don't forget Video On Demand.

This film is a huge money maker for the studio. It was a can't fail project, and it didn't. Sadly the trolls are using the old paradigm to measure this and that clearly doesn't work. This is a win for Warners.

And I'm not even a fan of the series or the film.

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I'll be honest. I had never even heard of Firefly until I saw Serenity. I loved Serenity so I went back and watched the show. I didn't really like the show that much, but still loved the movie.

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Most people posting on this thread seem to be forgetting that the word 'flop' is inaccurate, because the film paid for itself without a studio or independent financier having to plough the money for the budget in. The budget came upfront, from the audience. It is my understanding that the studio agreed to cover the back end costs (release, publicity etc.) if the film could fund itself. Which it did.

Also...any fan who donated above a certain amount of money received a free digital copy of the film and/or a dvd later on down the line. So the box office and digital download figures do not reflect the actual viewing figures for this particular film.

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You just made my day! One of my fave movies of all time, Chinatown, combined with one of my fave TV series of all time. Sounds too good to be true; here's to hoping it's not.

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I doubt the OP will even be back to comment on any of this - ppl who post things like this are just pot stirrers. But what the hell, I'll bite.


This film cost the WB studio _maybe_ $3M. The film itself was paid in full by the fans. So WB is only needing to recoop the $3M it spent on swag, premieres, AMC theatres, and promo...that said:

The VM movie made $2M in 48 hours just from the 291 AMC theatres. It's been out 7 days after that first 48 hours bringing in approx. another $1M. So boom. Right there, WB studio is flush. The rest is profit.

The rest? You ask?

Why yes. Season 1, 2, & 3 were in itunes top 10 selling seasons the past 10 days. Money that goes to WB.

Merchandise for this Team and that Team has been through the roof, of which WB sees a percentage.

The VM movie itself was in the Top 3 selling on iTunes for the first 5 days and is not in the Top selling. on itunes. Not even including 1) rentals 2) amazon 3)flixster 4) vudu 5) blockbuster on demand 6) comcast on demand.

So don'tcha worry your pretty littles heads about the VM franchise. It's been far from a flop.


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Good grief dude. Also if it were a normal production it wouldn't have 20% going to Kickstarter directly and a ton more to posters and shipping and so on. So those are not part of the budget of the film itself in a normal sense.

Serenity came out closer to the end of Firefly. It was in far more theaters and not VOD same day as theatrical. And it's sci-fi.

Granted it would have been nice to see VMars have done maybe twice as well in theaters (although it did better than they predicted).

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"Good grief, dude, that's just way too much fact and documentation!" Yeah, sorry, but the bubble needed to be burst. VM people in here arrogantly claiming "So don'tcha worry your pretty littles heads about the VM franchise. It's been far from a flop" needed a big dose of reality and I gave it to them.

Also if it were a normal production it wouldn't have 20% going to Kickstarter directly and a ton more to posters and shipping and so on. So those are not part of the budget of the film itself in a normal sense.


What in the world does that mean? It doesn't matter if it's a "normal production" the point is, that was the money that was raised, that people gave. So they either have to earmark the original Kickstarter money for the gifts and shipping and so on, or they have to get that money from the PROFITS of the film. The film made no profits over and above the production, so they had to earmark it beforehand or renege on their original promises to the Kickstarter donators, because the film did not make enough money to cover the money Warner Brothers added to the Kickstarter money (and you know Warner Bros is going to recoup their costs FIRST).

The point is this: for a film to be considered "successful" it must make more money than was spent to make it. That includes ALL costs, including promotions and gifts and shipping and so on. It did not do that. They spent all the Kickstarter money on the production and didn't have enough for the reshoots. Warner Brothers had to kick in for the reshoots. So, no money was left over, it was all spent. The film then proceeded to make 3.7 million, a big chunk of which went to theater owners (the producers don't get every dollar made at the box office, some goes to the theater owners) and the rest went to Warner Bros to pay back the money for the reshoots, the advertising and everything else Warner Bros paid for. So, the production team got nothing. Nada. They made the film for nothing. Did Rob Thomas and the rest of the cast go into it to make nothing? Did they predict a box office that would make them nothing? If they all worked for residuals, they worked for free. Hopefully the cast got paid from the Kickstarter money or they all worked for free, because there are no profits to pay them with.

As far as Serenity is concerned... who cares when it came out? The reason I mentioned Serenity was to show what kind of business it did on DVD and other post-theatrical business. I used that to predict what Veronica Mars could expect, and it's not very much. So your point about Serenity coming out a lot sooner (I suppose to justify why it did better) just supports my conclusion: Veronica Mars won't make much on DVD or pay-per-view.

Granted it would have been nice to see VMars have done maybe twice as well in theaters (although it did better than they predicted).


Firstly, as far as the future of the Veronica Mars franchise continuing, it's a little bit more important than "it would have been nice". The movie being successful was absolutely critical for the franchise to continue. The movie tanked, it's that simple. So, the books may happen, but beyond that, Veronica Mars is dead.

Secondly, where in the world do you get that "it did better than predicted"? By whom? Naysayers? Maybe, but not the production team, not Warner Brothers! Haha! Do you actually think that the people that made Veronica Mars (including Warner Brothers) went into this predicting it would make less than 3.7 million dollars at the box office?! What producers would consider spending 7 million dollars on a movie that ultimately earned 3.7 million a success? Would they make a movie that would earn them NO profits and think that's successful?! NO ONE that produced the movie operated under the belief they'd make 3.7 million dollar at box office. Surely they knew it was a possibility that it would flop (which it did) but they weren't "predicting" a 3.7 million dollar box office, let ALONE less than that (which you claim). If you think they made this movie predicting a number that 3.7 million was "better than", you have lost your mind.

If you go back and read the comments I quoted from the interview in Entertainment Weekly, you'll see why your claim is totally wrong. I'll quote it again just in case you forgot:

Thomas and Bell also want to make more Mars, be it as low-budget movies or a Netflix series. The team won't rule out another Kickstarter campaign, but they'd prefer that Warner Bros. foot the bill moving forward. "I know what number we'd have to hit to do it again," says Bell, who naturally declined to divulge said number, "I think we can do it. So I am not too pessimistic about this being the last round".


Did you read that? They prefer that Warner Bros. "foot the bill moving forward". She then says, "I know what number we'd have to hit to do it again". She then says "I think we can do it" and hopes this film isn't "...the last round". Do you honestly believe she or anyone else associated with it would "predict" a number less than 3.7 million and believe that Warner Brothers would then "foot the bill" for the next one?! Why would Warner Brothers foot the bill for a future film when this one cost 7 million to make and made 3.7 million? It doesn't matter about the Kickstarter money when it comes to Warner Brothers footing the bill for future films, it matters what it cost to make this film and how it did. If they are going to foot the bill they have to know that they won't LOSE MONEY making these films. This film cost 7 million and made 3.7 million, and it can only get worse. It's not like the next Veronica Mars film is going to do a lot better than this one. So why would Warner Brothers pay another 7 million to make the next Veronica Mars movie when the last one only made 3.7 million? It's a sure loser, and you can bet NO ONE "predicted" a box office performance that 3.7 million "did a lot better than".

Where in the world you get that the producers or Warner Brothers "predicted" a number that (you claim) 3.7 million was "better than", I have no idea. No one involved in making this film would predict a number that was half the cost of production. No one, and if you believe that you are living in a dream world.


"...nothing is left of me, each time I see her..." - Catullus

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So why would Warner Brothers pay another 7 million to make the next Veronica Mars movie when the last one only made 3.7 million?


They don't have to spend another $7 million. Remember that the original goal for the Kickstarter was $2 million. They had a plan to make a $2 million movie. They got a lot more than that so they made a bigger movie - more characters, celeb cameos, more locations, big brawl scene, etc. Any sequel they make doesn't have to be as expensive as the first.

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I don't get where the $12 million figure is coming from.

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which reportedly would require the film generate at least $12 million in break-even revenue.


That's all I could find. Which seems thin seeing as they don't have to break even on this one to greenlight a second one as I mentioned above.

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And my point was that another film doesn't have to cost as much as this one did. Their original goal was $2 million. So they just embellished that $2 million film with more returning cast, celeb cameos, etc. A sequel doesn't need Jamie Lee Curtis or James Franco or many of the old Neptune students.

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Fans of genre directors and other fringe properties claim not to care about box office and commercial success, and yet fight tooth and nail to convince people that their favorite niche properties that flopped did not flop. It's quite simple: a film that can't even make HALF of its budget back is a flop. And in addition to that, we are not talking about a film that cost 250 million dollars and only grossed 100 million. That film is a financial flop, and a money-loser, but at least sold 100 million dollars worth of tickets, which means that a substantial amount of people saw the film. VM, on the other hand, barely made a little above 50% of its budget ON A TINY BUDGET. It grossed 3.4 million dollars, which is pathetic, and proves that the property has zero appeal beyond the already minuscule fanbase that couldn't save the TV show form the ax. So, sure, keep dreaming and xoming up with far-fetched scenarios to justify the «non-flopping» of the film, but the cold hard figures are there, and they are simple and clear: 6 million budget, 3.4 million gross = flop.

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What in the world does that mean? It doesn't matter if it's a "normal production" the point is, that was the money that was raised, that people gave. So they either have to earmark the original Kickstarter money for the gifts and shipping and so on, or they have to get that money from the PROFITS of the film. The point is this: for a film to be considered "successful" it must make more money than was spent to make it. That includes ALL costs, including promotions and gifts and shipping and so on.


Nonsense.

First you forget that WB didn't put up the kickstarter money and those who did expect no return so there is absolutely no need to make any of that money back. People paid for that.

Second, what I mean by normal is that for most movies nobody just sucks away 5% of the budget (I made a big mistake with the 20% figure though, it seems it is 5%) and they don't have to ship out all sorts of posters and t-shirts and so on and so forth. (I think where I came up with 15-20% is that is what they said the costs of kickstarer's take plus handling all the doodads took out of the $5.7mil) Anyway, none of those costs matter. They are totally irrelevant. So you can't count those expenses as money that needs to be made back in tickets sales or VOD or whatnot.

So the actual films budget is something like 20% less.

If they made a new one under normal circumstances none of that stuff would have to be made back since none of it would exist.

(although depending upon whether they count the backer DVDs/VOD money and to what degree you may or may not need to add that money back in)

There basically was no advertising. I heard one commercial was shown one single time on the CW and that was it. They probably did have to pay some staff to help with talk-show bookings and such. Maybe a tiny bit to have it somewhat featured on iTunes.

Firstly, as far as the future of the Veronica Mars franchise continuing, it's a little bit more important than "it would have been nice". The movie being successful was absolutely critical for the franchise to continue. The movie tanked, it's that simple. So, the books may happen, but beyond that, Veronica Mars is dead.


Way early to be so definitive about it. It certainly didn't do it to the point they could be instantly certain it's on. It's probably very borderline. I certainly am somewhat worried.

Secondly, where in the world do you get that "it did better than predicted"? By whom? Naysayers? Maybe, but not the production team, not Warner Brothers!


There was some little talk that supposedly WB didn't have much faith and expected only about $1mil for the opening weekend. That was not rumored to be the number they wanted, but rumored to be what they pessimistically expected. Supposedly. May or may not be the truth.


Haha! Do you actually think that the people that made Veronica Mars (including Warner Brothers) went into this predicting it would make less than 3.7 million dollars at the box office?! What producers would consider spending 7 million dollars on a movie that ultimately earned 3.7 million a success?


Duh, why do you think they never agreed to make it all those years? Precisely because they had no faith and didn't think it could even manage close to $3.7mil to this point (keep in mind the grand total isn't here yet).

They didn't spend $7mil to make it. Probably $4.5-$4.8 or so to start. Unless of course you think they spent $2.5-$2.8mil on re-shoots for a sub $5mil movie?

Although it would have had to have been very bare bones, it sounds like they felt they could scape a movie together, for VM, for maybe $3mil total, if they had to.

Sadly, it's hardly guaranteed now, but it's not impossible yet either, but it definitely is on the more worrisome side of things. There is also probably a lot of tricky calculating to see how VOD on day 1 affect box office and how box office in turn boosted VOD on day 1. Maybe a half week or week delay for VOD would have brought in more.

Also it is certainly not a flop for WB since they put what like $2milish total into it including rentals, re-shoots, flying them around on the jet, etc. So they will more than break even. Of course that is a different story than breaking even had they paid for everything and plus they don't care about breaking even they want profit and then a comfort margin on top. It could work out that a minimal movie might give the numbers for likely profit with nice safety margin. Not sure if they want to back such a minimal movie though. If we are lucky maybe it adds up in the end to just enough to just make a movie large enough for them to go for.
Even if they had more expenses somewhere else, it's hard to see how $3.7mil plus blu-ray/DVD/VOD won't end making them some millions profit. Already $3.7-$2 leaves $1.7 ahead and even if somehow, somewhere that all went to something else that would still leave all the DVD/blu-ray/VOD as profit. It's hard to see how they are going to have lost an money on this and hard to see how they won't have ended up making some. Heck, in that sense it will have made more for them then many giant budget flops where they lots tens of millions on each.

Oh and don't forget that since that profit would never have occurred without the fan input since they would've never decided to make it otherwise it wouldn't wrong to count whatever profit they get out of this as free money to produce and count against a sequel, so they'd have a head start on it. Granted, they probably won't think of it that way, but it sure would not be wrong from any angle to think of it in that way and thinking of it this way they need to pull less money in on the second film to have it make a profit for them (of course looking at THIRD film they'd have to take that back out).

It certainly didn't instantly hit the safe number to make a full-on, no compromise sequel to this point.

It was a tough thing, limited release and no advert means less people and far less people, but kept marketing costs radically down. It's a tricky balancing act, how many theaters, what marketing, when to time VOD. It seemed like news about it was everywhere and it had tons of free advertising, but that is mostly because the fans were hunting all the stories down. If I talk to people who knew nothing about the movie before, most hadn't heard even despite what seemed like all the free press and such.

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Da-yum. You've spent a lot of time and effort on this issue in this thread. Ockham's Razor tells me that you have some deep emotional investment here, and basic common sense tells me that emotional investment is clouding your perceptions. Seriously, it's not in the least bit subtle. Perhaps you'd like to explain what your personal issues are here? If not, no big deal -- the specifics don't really matter, just the giant metaphorical neon "I Care Way Too Much" sign flashing over every comment you make.

Oh well. I sincerely hope you come to terms with whatever issue is gnawing at your psyche and/or self-esteem.

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Why do you care?

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Another reason it's far from a flop: The digital download of the movie is STILL in the Top 10 on itunes. Almost 2 weeks after it premiered on itunes. Not to mention on aaaallll the other digital down load sites. It's still making money hand over fist.



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You are forgetting the movie made 5 million even before it began production... it's working on a whole different 'profit margin' than you're typical studio funded movie would be... I don't know what other money WB or the cast put out, but, I'm sure they are, at the very least, breaking even. It was never going to be a billion dollar box office smash, but by definition, breaking even is not a flop.

thefoodcomplex.com
I 4/4 don't care.

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Also, what is left out is that almost 66k of the 91K backers got a digital copy the day of release. So if they bought 2 tickets a piece (I know there are singles, but just for the sake of argument) at 10 bucks a ticket that would be another $1,320,000 in ticket sales, but they don't need tickets, they funded the movie. If the movie at the end with tickets, VOD, DVDs, Netflix deals and everything doesn't make one dollar of profit, it is a success. Because in the end, the fans gave Thomas the money to finish a story. He finished that story (and left it open for more) and that is what the fans wanted, it is what they paid for. Screw the studios, they didn't fund it, so who cares if they get rich off of it.

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Tomas you are an idiot, it in fact did make back it's budget since the viewers pre-paid for the movie. It has made 3 million already (on just 250 screens) and will probably make well over 5 million (of almost pure profit. There have been many franchises that have made many movies with that type of return in the past.

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The thing that irks me is, why these trolls even want this to be a mainstream success?

This movie was made because the "fringe" fans wanted it. I would want to see a Jericho movie perhaps, so what if most of the world does not care? And it can't really be a flop because a lot was already paid by kickstarter. They got about 6 million from kickstarter already.

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I think everyone involved in making this moving realized it wasn't going to be Iron Man. They felt they'd likely make a decent amount of money off a minimal investment with a movie they shot in 23 days. Nobody was sweating this one. I truly believe that to Rob Thomas and Kristen Bell, it was more a labor of love and a huge "thank you" to all the die hard fans. Call me naïve, but I think there might be a couple of people left in Hollywood that will put together a nice project without the expectation of getting rich out of it. The Kickstarter cash simply made it all that more appealing. I'm a VM fan. I'm thankful they put out the movie. I really enjoyed it. I hope they make a bit of money off of it. And the fact that it doesn't make it into the mainstream really doesn't matter to me. I think the true fans of the show never really cared who else "got it". Although if more people "got it", maybe we would have seen 6 or 7 seasons. Maybe we'll see them back for their 15 year reunion!

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It amazes me the amount of energy people spend of their lives invested in trying to convince us 'fanboys' that this was a flop. Dude.. even if it WAS (which it wasn't), most of us were happy to get the movie in the first place. WE'VE ALREADY WON. STOP TRYING.

You're Welcome.

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