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The probability of a crash


If they say its really one in 200 is that taking into account if the shuttle takes off in cold weather? I mean if you eliminate the cold factor and always take off above 53 F then is it still one in 200?

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It's one in 200 not considering cold weather. So many systems have to work properly that 1:200 are the chances on a GOOD day. The people that were trying to stop the launch maybe weren't 100% sure there would be a cataclysmic failure, but they knew launching on that morning was a very bad idea.

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