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Click-Bait.
Now explain WHY you are guessing that Black Panther won't make it's money back. Come on tell us. You're smart enough to type so you're also smart enough to offer some Landofree knowledge.
I know you can do it. Try 50 words or less.
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He never said it was going to do good. He never said anything about how it would do. He simply pointed out you trolled with nothing to back up your point. so....answer his question. Why don't you think it will make it's money back?
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Help us out here. In order for anyone to make a prediction we need to know what is Black Panther's money?
Since you are setting the bar or criteria of BP's money we need to know that. It would also be quite courteous of you to explain why you don't think BP will make it's money back. If that is your definition of "its". I'm assuming you mean BP's production budget.
Sharing is caring. So please share. Please?
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My take is that Black Panther will gross at minimum $650 Million WW. BP will open with $130 Million domestic and has no other Tent-pole openings that it will have to compete against. BP will perform like a Marvel branded movie at worst and I will suggest that the production budget will be $150 to $175 Million. The formula that I like to use for a film's return is 2.2 to 2.5 times the production budget based on domestic % return and international % return on the US dollar. For the high end of the production budget that means that approximately $450 Million of revenue will cover P/A the rest is returned to Marvel/Disney or about $200 Million in profit conservatively.
BP will have very good word of mouth Domestically and I expect BP will bring in $300 Million domestic. Internationally I don't expect BP will be strong in China but I do think it will do $350 Million as a minimum in total WW with BP being very strong in Brazil, South America and the UK. I also expect BP to be stronger in India and Africa than any other film ever from Marvel. Those amounts will not offset the drop off in China where BP will be ~$80 Million. $270 Million for BP internationally without China is guaranteed.
Doctor Strange did $232 Domestic and $445 International for $677 Million against $165 Production budget. Using the 2.5x would mean $420 to cover cost for a net of $ ~$250 Million.
Sorry for being verbose.
wow, good answer dude
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No I didn't forget the split, remember when I said 2.2 to 2.5 as a multiplier? I didn't say subtract the production budget from the gross. For every dollar brought in 50% goes to the theater thus you get the 2x dollars. Most advertising costs is about 50% of the production budget or more which is about $100 Million for BP.
I didn't say that Africa would have numbers commiserate with China. I said that BP will do better than any other Marvel film.
But YOU provided no numbers. You just say it won't make back it's money. You honestly expect BP to only gross about $350 Million WW? The breakeven point for you then is roughly $450 Million WW. That number means BP won't make back "its money". Fair?
Hey, I thought the one with the tree and the raccoon would flop....and the one with the shrinking guy....and the one with Sherlock as a magician....so I have no idea how this one will do.
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