No, an overwhelming majority of climate scientists support the AGW thesis: there is nothing embarassing about my position.
As for the so-called "frauds" of 2012, I assume you're writing about the storm in the (tea-party's) tea cup that centred around the research at the UEA. Sadly, for you - and for humans at large - the UEA was cleared of all wrong-doing. The whole story was a reminder of how careful "citizen scientists" and bloggers must be, when they try to investigate problems as complicated as global warming.
If you're talking about the alleged "pause" in global warming, my guess is that you've been looking at decadally averaged global temperatures, rather that ten year moving averages. "Skeptics" prefer the former, because such graphs make the temperature steps over the last few decades look as though they are decreasing, whereas the moving averages show little such evidence. That said, some slowing in the rate of warming is to be expected, because of the massive amount of energy required to warm oceans and to melt polar ice. These smaller, quantitative questions were addressed in the 2013 IPCC report.
As for talk about cooling, I haven't seen this suggested by any reputable climate scientists.
Do you really think that U.S. voters have better BS detectors than the citizens of other Western democracies, despite the well-documented, lower average levels of scientific literacy of U.S. people compared with other nations? (Where are their BS detectors when creationism periodically looms? And why are academics called "elites" as if it were a term of denigration?)
I think a better explanation is the almost uniquely U.S. system of industry-funded lobbyist groups, and the revolving door between between these groups and the upper levels of the U.S. civil service.
The U.S. also seems far happier about electing billionaires and their sons (even oil men) than comparable countries.
Finally, there is the old chestnut of campaign finance reform in the U.S.
These three factors, coupled with the very American idea that everyone is entitled to an opinion about any subject (which, of course, they are, provided others recognise that most people's opinions aren't worth much when it comes to arcane scientific topics, like climate science) is more than enough to explain why the U.S. is out of step with World scientific thinking about AGW.
reply
share