Time travelling deductions


(last 2 paragraphs are my deductions about Chiaki's fate)

Chiaki was Makoto's age.
Makoto when leaping back, always leaped back to a time and place she was at. That meant there was only 1 timeline, and timespace continuum was maintained (roughly, she might land close by for example, but when leaping she'd always show up more or less in the same place she was at the time). When traveling back, she'd change clothes, and even her body to her earlier state (changing into pijamas, unburnt hair, and not having any injury) so she'd in fact be traveling back to her (a few days) younger body. So if Chiaki traveled back, he must have had already been born. That means the disaster is during Makoto/Chiaki's future lifetime.
He was from a different school, which is why there are rumors of him changing schools alot, and no one knowing where he is from, but since no one refers to him as a foreigner, he must have a japanese face and be japanese, otherwise kids would pick on that when referring to his habit of changing schools.

I also believe the knowledge goes with the time traveler. So even if Makoto traveled back and ate her pudding, when she returned she knew she had eaten it, but she didn't retroactively change her past knowledge (she didn't learn about time travel in the pudding day, although her conscience knew about time travel when she was eating it, the knowledge went with her back into the future) - this creates a time loop, because she'll always think her sister ate the pudding (which was true at first), ensuring she travels back in time and eats the pudding herself (hence not recalling it, and blamming her sister, perpetuating the cycle). That also means when Chiaki travels to the future, past Chiaki will probably not recall Makoto, nor anything else. Only future Chiaki will recall her. For him it'll be a split second and he'll look for future Makoto, but Makoto needs to live those days. Maybe it's just a couple of years. Maybe it's a couple of decades. Her aunt is caught in a similar fate, and the worst part is, that by becoming aware of the painting's relevance, they are proactively changing the future. That means her aunt restores the painting, and Makoto guards it. Butterfly effect is in full effect here, small changes nest big differences in the timeline in a matter of a couple of days. We manage to see her dying, as well as her friend dying. In a longer time, such a life devoting difference (devoting her life to protect the painting), will offer a radically different future (specially if the painting is indeed relevant and holds any power).

Maybe the disaster is even adverted due to the painting still existing in the future. It seems various time travelers have gone back to try and save the painting. The aunt is restoring the painting, despite it's apparent lack of worth and value in the present (she said so when she finishes restoring it) - the friend she is waiting for, probably told her of it, and it was from him she learned of time travel (she seems unphased by Makoto's experiences, subtly hinting that her subtle changes will bring big consequences and others might get hurt).

Maybe Chiaki's conscience/knowledge has nowhere to return to - the world he left is no longer there for the disaster was adverted, and so, when past Chiaki matures and gets there, he has no need to time travel and save the painting - avoiding meeting Makoto altogether, and never taking knowledge about her or even meeting her.
This is probably the case of the aunt's friend as well, and that's the reason she never saw him again.

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You make a good point about applying the rules of Makato's traveling to Chiaki. I don't think it's necessarily true that the exact same rules apply, afterall Chiaki is a specific time traveler while Miaki's abilities are more of a science malfunction. But it makes sense that Chiaki is, like her, merely traveling in time via his owm consciousness and not in any external physical way.

One possible implication of this, of course, is that Chiaki is an old man who travelled back in time to his teenage body then hit on a schoolgirl. Bit creepy, but we'll move on.

As for your theory of knowledge traveling forward, I think this is where the movie is on shaky ground. I believe this is the only time where she travels forward in time, back to her original position, and it does seem to leave something of a hole inbetween then and now. If Makota did eat the pudding, then that event will have many causal effects, and yet she was not 'there' for the events between her eating the pudding and her returning to her original time. Was she a zombie for this time, or operating in some kind of probability cloud? One possible suggestion from your post seems to be that Miako always ate her pudding but assumed it was her sister, but I don't think this is the case. She changed the past in this instance just as much as in the others. The consciousness gap that this creates is an issue that I dont think the film can logically resolve! Perhaps you're right and Chiaki will simply forget his events in the past, but I think any kind of deduction that follows from these premises will be weak as they don't seem very internally coherent. Returning to a previous point of consciousness makes perfect sense but moving to a 'new' future consciousness has very worrying implications for the nature of consciousness put forward by the film and seems to undermine a lot of its basic premises; mainly, it implies that the subject of consciousness does not really exist.

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