MovieChat Forums > An Inconvenient Truth (2006) Discussion > First California Sierra snowpack report ...

First California Sierra snowpack report - start of season 67% of normal


statewide average, for this date 11/13.

This year may be telling
Will the Great El Nino Hope bear big?

Or will the numbers be as sad as last year with later winter readings in the teens of percent and lower.

Put this on your Favorites List and Stay tuned folks!

http://cdec.water.ca.gov/cdecapp/snowapp/sweq.action

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Statewide average snowpack average for this date- 56 percent 11/30/15, even with more dismal years behind us now being factored into the "average" equation

Hyped up El Nino yet to arrive, although a very southern Pacific Baja triangle region and warm ocean activity has been crossing Mexico- including one Hurricane- taking a right turn at Louisiana and bringing rather large storm systems, at times stretching unbroken from the Pacific to Maine - UNUSUAL
to those of us who watch the images from year to year.

In the meantime a more normal Northern Pacific pattern may be forming- but weak looking for the time of year now and NOT El Nino

and with some luck my bring some storm system waves further and further down the coast until they generally recede back upwards after the New Year, but early prediction is: Some recovery- at best- for California Drought, or continuing crisis getting worse. One would expect SOME upswings amid the predictable continuing onslaught of drought in traditionally dry places due to man made Global Warming.

Serious agriculture in California could in fact be in severe decline and virtually OVER, and Australia is not far behind in that regard..

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New Year reading: 106 percent statewide- approximately one foot of snow on the snowpack so far

Rains and snow arrived in late December from Northern Pacific- the "normal" west coast winter pattern- NOT El Nino

More El Nino-like rains have been sliding under the Baja across Mexico and Texas (flooding and tornadoes through the south)turning northward up the Mississippi Valley, where readings along the Mississippi jumped into moderate and major flood levels for a short period of a few days, and now generally receding)

Early forecast- Some relief to drought and snowpack, but probably not any major rebound

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Reading for 2/8/2016

Snowpack is 105 percent of average for the date.

The rains have now been blowing north of California the past five days or so, and most of this month-

The snow pack melts incredibly fast when not raining- it was 112 percent statewide reading on 2/5 and dropped 7 percent in three days it didn't see any significant storms off the Pacific.

E Nino has probably done most of what it was hoped/hyped up to do, and if the rains don't return- the percentage of snowpack statewide will probably soon be under normal and remain that way the rest of the winter season.

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California Sierra snowpack- 91 percent statewide for the date 2/16

dropping fast in record temps in California-

almost certainly is not going to go back to 100 percent or anywhere near it.

Despite the hyped up "El Nino" California snowpack WILL NOT be at even normal levels AGAIN for the rest of the winter and Spring.

Tell me one more time that "weather is NOT climate", because more so these days it IS.

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Good for you to post to yourself for years. Please get a life, do something.

Things you post (I only read a few) are only indicative of erratic weather, which has always been true. It doesn't mean GW or AGW. You need to make a connection, if that is true.

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Statewide-

Last reading in February was 85 percent-

and now dropping fast- likely to be UNDER 50 percent at the end of the month and the winter season

EL NINO FIZZLE! 

AND Yahoo at least keeps running stories from OVER A MONTH AGO about all the wonderful MIRACLES the Great El Nino is doing. Phooey!

rndhyd= 

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Rain coming in low- the last of the season?

Very hyped on the internet, when the snowpack keeps dropping despite any precip that may raise it a percent or two.

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Way behind the start of last year's reporting season-

What's up with that?

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as of December 1
California snowpack 61 percent statewide for the date

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That figure is down to 54 percent only five days later 12/5

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[deleted]

I'm making an exception to reply to one of your posts, but not much on your content.

You cite many things, mostly on weather, off the topic of GW. It's about climate (measured as a 30-year average of weather).

Have you explained, or can you explain, why more CO2 leads to higher temps? CO2 has been increasingly steadily since 1945, yet temps decreased until the mid 1970s, and temps have hardly risen since 1998.

Can you or other alarmists elaborate on these facts:

Temps increased 0.4F during 1880-1940, without very little increase in CO2.

Temps were higher [than now] during the MWP -- the 500s (AD), plus & minus a few centuries -- and during the earlier Roman period (BC).

CO2 was much higher (17+ times) millions of years ago, without a much higher temp average.

CO2 is a GHG, but minor & with diminishing returns. The first 100 ppm of CO2 is the most powerful for reflecting radiant heat back to Earth. Each next unit of CO2 has much less heating effect.

Based upon ice cores for the last 800,000 years, temps varied by 22F & CO2 varied 180-280 ppm, CO2 levels are now 400 ppm, while temps have only increase by about 0.5F since CO2 increase much from about 290 ppm during the last 70 years. Those temp chanes are attributed to Milankovitch Cycles -- four variations having to do with the sun's rays. CO2 increased after warming, due to ocean out-gassing (releasing more CO2).

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snowpack 67 percent statewide 12/21/ 2016

judging by the latest pattern in the Pacific- not likely to rise much soon.

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