"And even if I did, so what?!"
It's still pretty ambiguous. While you could take it as an admission of guilt, it could also be viewed as Ralphie, who was mouthy anyway, being exasperated with Tony. From Ralph's perspective, he is emotionally devastated by his son being on life support. Tony comes barging into his house, unannounced, early in the morning and starts relentlessly grilling him about a dead horse.
I also don't think, if Ralphie definitely had the shed torched, a confession would have done anything to save him. Tony may have not consciously known he was going to Ralph's house to kill him but it was only going to end that way once he got there.
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