I watched this movie last night and wanted to jump in on the debate. To me it was explicitly clear that he was Horace, not Jack, and that Laurel had her suspicions all along.
Evidence to support him as an imposter:
The dog didn't recognize him, but calmed down once it smelled the handkerchief. When Laurel had it burned because it was filthy, the dog mysteriously died.
His personality and demeanor changed completely. While not unheard of after spending time fighting in a war and prison, it is a hint.
His foot was two sizes smaller.
He didn't know the name of his best friend.
His signature was different.
He "couldn't remember how he'd been" with Laurel during sex.
The real Jack drank too much, got violent, and had a thing for card games. This guy didn't drink at all, was gentle, and never played.
In the jail cell he said he couldn't be Horace again. That's about as clear as you can get.
Why I think Laurel suspected early on:
The first night she has to remind Jack they slept in separate bedrooms. I don't care how long you've been gone, you don't forget that.
Early on she started flirting with him and invited him to her bed. The reason I think this matters is that she said when making their son, Jack was drunk, got her pregnant, and then never wanted her after that. This version of Jack is sad because they have separate bedrooms and leaps at the chance to sleep with her. By inviting him to her bed, I think she was testing him.
For those asking why he would rather die as Jack than live as Horace, well it's pretty simple. He was the only person in the town willing to not only show some kindness to the recently freed slaves, but he was willing to sell them land (unheard of at the time). By admitting he was a fraud, Laurel would be disgraced. Their daughter would be labeled as a bastard. The black family wouldn't own land. Everything gained would've been lost. He had no future as Horace.
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