Well yes I assume the killer would have thought that he had definite proof.
It's a tactic police use all the time: convincing a suspect they've got evidence they don't actually have.
Jeff's anonymous note -
What have you done with her? - tells Thorwald someone is onto him, and Lisa's theft of the ring and signal to Jeff tells him who.
As for his conviction, don't forget that Thorwald confessed to the police as soon as they caught him trying to kill Jeff: Doyle's associate says,
"Thorwald's ready to take us on a tour of the East River," and also tells them that what had been buried in the garden - presumably Mrs. Thorwald's head - is now in a hatbox in his apartment. So his attempted murder of Jeff really has no bearing on the case for the murder of his wife, for which he'll clearly be convicted, and constitutes a separate crime.
Poe! You are...avenged!
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