Early Predictions for Summer 2017's Big Movies

Dunkirk will not be making anything less than 60 million opening weekend and 250 million total.

I can't wait for it, but a war drama is going to be a harder sell than Interstellar, Inception, or The Dark Knight. It will have good legs though.

Just out of curiosity, you think that Guardians of the Galaxy 2 will open to $87 million and finish its domestic run at $220 million, marking a 33.9% decline from the well-received first flick? I find that hard to believe.

Also, Despicable Me 3 and War for the Planet of the Apes seem low compared to their predecessors.

As far as my GOTG and Apes predictions go, I think about it this way: the summer of 2014 was one of the weakest summers at the box office in the past 10 years. The previous Planet of the Apes movie (Dawn) was really the only big film of July 2014 in an astoundingly weak month with many underperformers (Tammy, Planes 2, Sex Tape, Hercules, etc.) And Guardians of the Galaxy was one of only two big films in August (the other was Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles.) This summer looks very strong through July, and then August looks pretty weak. So those two will probably make less than their predecessors due to the lack of competition, especially Apes (which is sandwiched between Spider-Man and Dunkirk.)

August 2017 looks very weak, though. Normally there are one or two blockbuster-type movies in the first half of the month. Baby Driver and Annabelle 2 should be solid hits, and The Emoji Movie is a big question mark. With Alien: Covenant moved up to May, I'd vote for Fox move Kingsman from 10/6 to 8/4 (especially since competing against Blade Runner 2049 would not be ideal.)

Despicable Me 3 looks much weaker in terms of quality, and more generic, than its two predecessors, so I think grosses will be lower. Then again, there aren't any animated films on the schedule in July (why?) and audiences came out for Minions even though it was terrible, so maybe not.

The Mummy will be much bigger, you dumb fu*kkkkk

There's absolutely NO way GOTG 2 is falling behind Doctor Strange.

GOTG 2
OW: $150 million
FT: $425 million

Alien: Covenant
OW: $45 million
FT: $130 million

Pirates 5
OW: $75 million
FT: $200 million

Baywatch
OW: $25 million
FT: $70 million

Wonder Woman
OW: $90 million
FT: $180-240 million

The Mummy
OW: $35 million
FT: $100 million

Cars 3
OW: $55 million
FT: $175 million

Transformers 5
OW: $80 million
FT: $160 million

Despicable Me 3
OW: $85 million
FT: $350 million

Spider-Man: Homecoming
OW: $100 million
FT: $275 million

War of the Planet of the Apes
OW: $70 million
FT: $200 million

Dunkirk
OW: $35 million
FT: $150 million

Adventure is out there!

I actually agree with him/her. The trailer really didn't sell me at all, and the franchise has been dormant for a while after the awful Tomb of the Dragon Emperor. I get that Tom Cruise is still a bit of a draw, but it looked like it'll have a lot of the same world destruction porn we've all gotten bored with.

Maybe 80 is too low, but I don't really see this being a huge hit.

There is absolutely no way GOTG2 opens that low on the first weekend of May. It is the sequel to a beloved Marvel movie which opened higher. It would be one of the biggest shocks at the box office ever.