And what's the over/under on the USA hitting 30,000 souls by May 1st? Care to lay a wager? The Man Upstairs is going to being working Resurrection Overtime this Easter Sunday. The die is pretty much already cast for the next two weeks or so. Let's just pray the belated measures we have employed will start to make a dent in weeks three, four, and beyond.
Considering our country is many,many times the size of Italy, it stands to reason the US is going to have more cases, hence deaths. A statistic than nobody considers is how many lives will be saved from people not driving. It's probably a wash.
China has three to four times the population and about the same size as the USA...although, needless to say, approach China's official death toll with caution. To err on the safe side, the USA's population (327 million) is about 5.4 x Italy's population (60.5 million)... so, we should expect about 85,790 (5.4 x 15,887) dead when we reach the same point Italy is at now?
*I don't like it... but these are the numbers (close to the Vietnam and Korean Wars combined)
US has already stabilized the death toll in about 1,000 deaths per day, this rate it would end having perhaps 30,000 deaths. Even with a big New York-like outbreak in the west coast, it doesn't look like the death toll is gonna be more than 50,000 people, worst case scenario.
Daily deaths seem to be 900 - 1,xxx so far. If the numbers stay the same 'till next week it'll easily surpass H1N1 numbers. Under Obama, there were about 12,500 deaths. We'll see if under Trump it'll be worse. 9,620 deaths so far now since Apr 6th. It may rise to 15,xxx deaths by next week.
Fortunately the adults are in charge and have a historic team making unprecedented progress. Meanwhile the democrats and their lemmings do the only thing they know. Back seat drive and point the finger.
No glee. You just don't like that what I'm saying might be correct. I don't like it either. Still, I'd rather assume it could be horrific and then be pleasantly surprised that it isn't. Better than the other way around. This virus had exceeded my wildest fears of how bad it could be. I've been wrong every time thus far. As it turned out I was being WAY TOO OPTIMISTIC. Absolutely stunned by had quickly it got bad in Italy, Spain, and New York. If the curve starts to flatten then I'll happily revise my estimates, but not a moment sooner.