They have to defend 23 seats in 2020. Meanwhile, to control the Senate in 2021, Democrats need to pick up three seats if they win the White House in 2020 or four if they don't.
https://www.cnn.com/2019/08/28/politics/johnny-isakson-senate-2020/index.html
This is great news, and not too impossible. So long as #MoscowMitch is not in control...
shareDems winning the Senate in 2020 is guaranteed. If repubs can only barely hold the Senate when they have half the seats to lose, they're gonna get slaughtered when its their seats up for re-election.
shareMost Americans are tired of the do nothing GOP. It's time for a change.
shareDems winning the Senate in 2020 is guaranteed.
Because of how close it was in the 2018 election. Repubs had 9 seats up. Dems had 24. 24 chances for blue to turn red, and only 9 for red to turn blue. It was 52-48 before the election, and with 24 chances repubs only managed 53-47.
In 2020 repubs have 23 seats up. Dems will only have 12. 23 chances to turn red to blue, in an economy bordering on a recession, and under a repub president that can't crack 40% approval.
Got it! Thanks!
shareIMO that's a bold prediction that I hope pans out. Maybe you have more insight than I do, where do you see the pickups coming?
21 of those 23 seats being defended are in states Trump won. The two being contested in states he lost are the most likely Dem pickups in my opinion; Cory Gardner in Colorado and Susan Collins in Maine.
But unless Alabama GOP runs Roy Moore again (which is not entirely out of the realm of possibility) Dems will almost certainly lose their lone Senate seat in the reddest of states they won in special election last year.
That leaves them two down. If the elections were fair then the Senate races in Georgia, Texas, and Arizona could be legitimate toss ups. What gives me pause is that GOP voter suppression tactics have historically been so stiflingly effective in those states that I'm not overly confident a Dem has any real chance taking one of their Senate seats, let alone the two that will be up for grabs in Georgia.
But in many ways I see control of the Senate as more important than the presidency in 2020. If Dems win presidency but lose Senate, the Dem president won't be able to do anything. If Dems win Senate but lose to Trump, at least they can block his agenda and court nominations.
That's great news,everyone should go and cut a check to the DNC right now in celebration.
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